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Monday’s matchup at Target Field features the Minnesota Twins (49-53) hosting the Boston Red Sox (55-49). The MLB betting lines have Boston favored at -160, while Minnesota enters as a +130 underdog. The total for the game is listed at 9 runs. On the mound, Richard Fitts is slated to get the start for the Red Sox, with Simeon Woods Richardson countering for the Twins.
- What? Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
- Where? Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
- When? Monday, July 28, 2025
Below are the odds from the best MLB Baseball betting sites.
| MLB |  |  |  |
| Boston Red Sox | -160 | -160 | -160 |
| Minnesota Twins | +130 | +130 | +130 |
| Over 9.0 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| Under 9.0 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
Odds are subject to change.
Boston Red Sox
The Boston Red Sox come into this matchup with one of the league’s more productive offenses. They average 4.9 runs per game—good for fifth-best in Major League Baseball. As a unit, they’ve generated 510 total runs on the strength of 902 hits. This includes 209 doubles and 129 home runs. Boston’s collective batting average sits at .252, with a .322 on-base percentage and a .427 slugging rate. Despite striking out 948 times, they’ve managed to draw 337 walks and drive in 489 runs.
On the pitching side, Boston ranks ninth in team ERA with a 3.79 mark. Their staff has compiled 865 strikeouts while allowing just 104 home runs and 456 total runs. This places them 21st in that category. Opponents are hitting them at a rate of 8.4 hits per nine innings, and the Red Sox have issued 337 walks this year, leading to a 2.57 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a 1.29 WHIP. Their collective Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 3.91.
The bullpen has been a mixed bag for Boston. To begin with, Red Sox relievers have entered the game with 138 inherited runners, 33.3% of whom have come around to score. Furthermore, in 104 save situations, the bullpen has converted just 27 saves while blowing 20 opportunities—translating to a modest 57.4% save rate. In addition, they’ve earned 55 holds, ranking 20th in the league. They have frequently been called into high-pressure situations, making 131 appearances in such spots, including 105 instances with runners already on base.
Defensively, the Red Sox have turned 68.8% of balls in play into outs over 8,385 innings. This places them 25th in the league in that department.
On the mound, Richard Fitts brings a career record of 1-5 with a 3.78 ERA across 57 innings pitched. He’s recorded 41 strikeouts against 17 walks, yielding a WHIP of 1.276 and a FIP of 3.72. Fitts has allowed 56 hits so far, averaging 8.8 hits per nine innings while facing 245 batters in his MLB career.
Minnesota Twins
The Minnesota Twins enter this contest with a power-driven offense that has clubbed 120 home runs and driven in 415 runs so far this season. They’ve also tallied 162 doubles, drawn 302 walks, and crossed the plate 434 times. While their team batting average stands at .241, they’re getting on base at a .312 clip and slugging .401 overall. Averaging 4.25 runs per game, the Twins currently sit 19th in the majors in scoring. They’ve struck out 847 times—ranking them 17th in that category—and have produced 824 total hits on the year.
On the pitching side, Minnesota’s staff has yielded 443 runs, with 414 of those being earned, resulting in a team ERA of 4.17. The rotation and bullpen have allowed 111 home runs and a total of 861 hits, ranking 20th in MLB for hits allowed. As a group, Twins pitchers hold a WHIP of 1.261 and an overall FIP of 3.80. Their 866 strikeouts paired with just 265 walks give them a solid strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.70.
The bullpen has had some shaky moments this season. Specifically, of the 104 runners inherited by relievers, 35.6% have come around to score. Moreover, in 107 total save situations, Minnesota’s relief corps has managed 71 holds and 19 saves, while also blowing 15 opportunities along the way. As a result, with a save percentage of just 55.9%, they currently rank 26th in the majors. Additionally, the Twins have called upon the bullpen 350 times this season, including 123 appearances in high-leverage situations and 73 instances with runners already on base.
Defensively, Minnesota has turned 68.9% of balls in play into outs across 8,043 innings, which puts them 23rd in MLB in defensive efficiency. They’ve turned 52 double plays and hold a team fielding percentage of .986, tied for 14th-best in the league. So far, they’ve racked up 749 assists, committed 48 errors, and recorded 2,681 putouts.
Starting pitcher Simeon Woods Richardson enters with a career mark of 10-10 and a 4.27 ERA across 219 innings. The right-hander has struck out 189 batters while allowing 206 hits and issuing walks at a pace that gives him a 2.20 K/BB ratio. With a WHIP of 1.333 and a FIP of 4.20, he’s averaging 8.5 hits allowed per nine innings while having faced 939 opposing hitters in his professional career.
Red Sox vs. Twins Prediction and Betting Picks
ChatGPT said:
Boston’s combination of consistent offensive production and a more reliable pitching staff ultimately gives them the upper hand in this matchup. Furthermore, with a top-five scoring offense, superior slugging power, and a bullpen that has held up better in pressure situations, the Red Sox are well-positioned to take control against a Twins team that, by contrast, has struggled with run prevention and defensive efficiency. If Richard Fitts can deliver a solid outing, then Boston should have more than enough firepower to secure the win.
Odds are subject to change.
Both teams feature capable lineups with solid power numbers. Boston ranks among the league leaders in runs scored, while Minnesota has shown pop with 120 home runs. With two relatively inexperienced starters on the mound and bullpens that have been inconsistent in save situations, there’s a strong chance for scoring on both sides. Add in some defensive inefficiency, and this matchup has all the ingredients to push the total over the 9-run mark.
Odds are subject to change.
Below are the best offshore sportsbooks where you can place your Red Sox vs. Twins bets.
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