2025 ATP Cincinnati Picks: Are we destined for another Sinner-Alcaraz final?

  • What: 2025 ATP Cincinnati
  • When: Aug 5-18, 2025
  • Time:  8:00-8 PM PST
  • Where: Cincinnati, Ohio

Jannik Sinner, world No. 1, and No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz headline a revamped Cincinnati Open—next on the US Open Series calendar.

This year marks the first time the Cincinnati Open will span 12 days and feature a 96-player singles draw, a significant expansion from the previous 56-player field and one-week format.

Withdrawals include Novak Djokovic, Jack Draper, Francisco Cerundolo, Grigor Dimitrov, and Alexander Bublik.

Before we examine the latest tennis betting odds, here’s where you can find the best Tennis Betting Sites 2025.

2025 ATP Cincinnati Odds

PlayerBetOnline Sportsbook ReviewBetUS Sportsbook ReviewBovada Sportsbook Review
Jannik Sinner+115+115+115
Carlos Alcaraz+190+200+190
Alexander Zverev+1600+1600+1600
Taylor Fritz+1800+1800+1800
Ben Shelton+2800+2800+2800
Daniil Medvedev+2800+2400+2800
Alex De Minaur+3000+2800+3000
Tommy Paul+5000+2700+5000
Frances Tiafoe+5000+4000+5000
Holger Rune+6600+5000+6600
Jiri Lehecka+6600+5000+6600
Karen Khachanov+6600+6000+6600
Lorenzo Musetti+7000+6000+7000
Joao Fonseca+7000+6600+7000
Jakub Mensik+7000+6000+7000
Alex Michelsen+8000+3300+8000
Arthur Fils+8000+8000+8000
Casper Ruud+10000+10000+10000
Andrey Rublev+10000+3800+10000
Stefanos Tsitsipas+12500+4000+12500
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard+12500+4900+12500
Gabriel Diallo+15000+4400+15000
Tomas Machac+15000+4900+15000
Felix Auger Aliassime+15000+4800+15000
Matteo Arnaldi+15000+4800+15000
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina+15000+5500+15000
Flavio Cobolli+15000+6000+15000
Ugo Humbert+15000+6600+15000
Cameron Norrie+15000+12000+15000
Alexei Popyrin+15000+15000+15000
Tallon Griekspoor+15000+10000+15000
Nicolas Jarry+20000+6600+20000
Fabian Marozsan+20000+7900+20000
Jacob Fearnley+20000+6600+20000
Brandon Nakashima+20000+7400+20000
Marcos Giron+20000+7500+20000
Learner Tien+20000+8000+20000
Mimir Kecmanovic+20000+8000+20000
Denis Shapovalov+20000+12000+20000
Gael Monfils+25000+25000+25000
Reilly Opelka+25000+12000+25000
Jordan Thompson+30000+30000+30000
Lorenzo Sonego+30000+30000+30000
Roman Safiullin+30000+30000+30000
Zizou Bergs+35000+35000+35000
Alexandre Muller+35000+35000+35000
Nishesh Basavareddy+35000+35000+35000
Aleksander Kovacevic+35000+35000+35000
Borna Coric+40000+40000+40000
Yoshihito Nishioka+40000+40000+40000
Kei Nishioka+40000+40000+40000
Jenson Brooksby+40000+40000+40000
Jaume Munar+40000+40000+40000
Hamad Medjedovic+40000+40000+40000
Mattia Bellucci+40000+40000+40000
David Goffin+50000+50000+50000
Arthur Rinderknech+50000+50000+50000
Tomas Martin Etcheverry+50000+50000+50000
Corentin Moutet+50000+50000+50000
Mackenzie McDonald+50000+50000+50000
Daniel Altmaier+50000+50000+50000
Roberto Bautista Agut+50000+50000+50000
Adam Walton+50000+50000+50000
Francisco Comesana+50000+50000+50000
Ethan Quinn+50000+50000+50000
Dami Dzumhur+50000+50000+50000
Nuno Borges+60000+60000+60000
Juncheng Shang+60000+60000+60000
Bengamin Bonzi+60000+60000+60000
Christopher O'Connel+60000+60000+60000
Bu Yunchaokete+60000+60000+60000
Roberto Carballes Baena+60000+60000+60000
Hugo Gaston+60000+60000+60000
Alejandro Tabilo+60000+60000+60000
Camilo Ugo Carabelli+60000+60000+60000
Tristan Boyer+60000+60000+60000
Brandon Holt+60000+60000+60000
Sebastian Ofner+60000+60000+60000
Luciano Darderi+60000+60000+60000
Vit Kopriva+70000+70000+70000
Sebastian Baez+70000+70000+70000
Pedro Martinez+70000+70000+70000
Hugo Dellien+70000+70000+70000

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner returns to competition following his first Wimbledon title last month and has received a favorable draw. The world No. 1 and defending Cincinnati champion will open his campaign against Vit Kopriva or a qualifier.

Sinner could face the 30th seed Gabriel Diallo in the third round. For his last-16 matchup, he might face either the 13th seed, Tommy Paul, or the 19th seed, Tomas Machac, both of whom have recently struggled with fitness and form.

As at Wimbledon, Sinner’s highest-seeded potential quarterfinal opponent is Lorenzo Musetti. Musetti has had a challenging stretch, posting a 1-3 record across his last three events since retiring from the French Open semifinals due to injury.

This section of the draw also includes 13th seed Casper Ruud and 25th seed Stefanos Tsitsipas.

However, 23rd seed Felix Auger-Aliassime could be a dark horse. Auger-Aliassime, a two-time Cincinnati quarterfinalist, thrives on quick courts and holds a 4-3 record against likely third-round opponent Ruud.

Jannik SinnerTO WIN 2025 ATP Cincinnati
★★★★★
+115
Bet now

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz begins his Cincinnati run against Damir Dzumhur or Mattia Bellucci, with a likely third-round clash against 26th seed Tallon Griekspoor.

Should he advance, Alcaraz could meet 16th seed Jakub Mensik or 24th seed Denis Shapovalov in the fourth round as he competes in his first tournament since Wimbledon.

If Alcaraz moves on to the quarterfinals, possible opponents include Alex de Minaur (6), Andrey Rublev (9), Alexei Popyrin (21), and Luciano Darderi (29).

De Minaur stands out as the most in-form contender in this group, coming off a title in Washington and a quarterfinal run in Toronto, though he may be dealing with some fatigue from a busy stretch.

Carlos AlcarazTO WIN 2025 ATP Cincinnati
★★★★★
+200
Bet now

Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev has regained confidence following a training stint with Toni Nadal in Mallorca and a strong showing at the Canadian Open.

Zverev faces a tough path in Cincinnati after a deep run in Toronto. He may open against Gael Monfils, with a likely third-round match versus 27th seed Brandon Nakashima. In the last 16, either Karen Khachanov (14) or Arthur Fils (18) could be waiting.

Ben Shelton, another Canadian Open semifinalist, is slated to meet Zverev in the quarterfinals. For Shelton, a likely third-round duel between 12th seed Daniil Medvedev and 22nd seed Jiri Lehecka could decide his next opponent.

Medvedev has struggled recently, but often excels on North American hard courts and could take advantage of fatigued opponents if he beats the dangerous Lehecka.

Alexander ZverevTO WIN 2025 ATP Cincinnati
★★★★★
+1600
Bet now

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Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz has carried his strong grass-court form into the hard-court swing. He has made deep runs in both Washington and Toronto and now faces Ben Shelton in the semifinals.

Building on his recent performances, while fatigue may be a factor, Fritz is accustomed to a packed schedule and has demonstrated his ability to maintain a high level on his preferred surfaces.

Looking ahead to Cincinnati, Fritz might face 2022 champion Borna Coric in early rounds. Afterward, he could meet 31st seed Lorenzo Sonego, followed by either 15th seed Flavio Cobolli or 17th seed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina if he reaches the round of 16.

Potential quarterfinal opponents for Fritz include Holger Rune (7), Frances Tiafoe (10), Ugo Humbert (20), and Alex Michelsen (28). Notably, Tiafoe was the runner-up in Cincinnati in 2024 and often excels on home soil at major events.

Taylor FritzTO WIN 2025 ATP Cincinnati
★★★★★
1800
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Tony Reyes

Tony is a pro sports journalist who dedicates most of his free time to watching the latest matches and games on TV. When he's not participating in sports-related activities or seeing his friends, Tony enjoys outdoor activities such as hiking, cycling, and basketball. In addition to being a sports expert, Tony has extensive knowledge of finances and accou...

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