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The Leagues Cup commences this week as MLS and Liga MX sides are pitted against one another in a battle for North American supremacy. Our featured match involves Club America, runners-up in the Clausura and back-to-back Liga MX champions in 2024. As the MLS gets hosting rights, Real Salt Lake will welcome them to Sandy, Utah for their first match of the group stage. Read on for an expert Club America prediction and explore stats and tips to bet on the MLS in 2025.
- Leagues Cup
- Club America vs Real Salt Lake
- Wednesday, July 30, 2025
- 10:30 PM EST
- America First Field, Sandy, Utah
- MLS Season Pass on Apple TV
Club America Prediction vs Real Salt Lake: Who do Sportsbooks Favor?
Club America are odds-on favorites over Real Salt Lake despite playing on the road. America de Mexico are (-128) to get the win and the crucial 3 points in the revamped group stage. Real Salt Lake are expected to defend home turf just 24.7% of the time, as evidenced by their (+305) price. A draw pays out at (+280).
Leagues Cup 
Club America -128 -132 -132 Real Salt Lake +305 +290 +295 Draw +280 +275 +275
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Club America Among Top Favorites to Win Leagues Cup
A shock loss in the Campeón de Campeones Cup to Toluca marred what was almost a golden year for Club America. Mexico’s most popular team won back-to-back tournaments in 2024 and looked invincible at times. That inevitable feeling was at its peak in the 2024 Apertura tournament when Club America barely made the playoffs only to win it all. After falling to LAFC in a one-match playoff for the final CONCACAF spot in the Club World Cup, America will be itching for revenge against the MLS.
Bookmakers like their chances of doing so. Club America (+1100) are only behind Inter Miami (+800) and Columbus (+1000) to win the tournament outright. Curiously, despite their stature and dominance in Mexico, Club America has historically struggled in the Leagues Cup. The team has never finished fourth or better. Due to the hosting of the tournament in the United States, many Mexican fans have complained about the unfair conditions. Although the score is even at 2-2 in terms of trophies between American and Mexican teams, MLS sides have two more runners-up finishes and two more third-place finishes as well.
Club America does benefit from some hosting privileges, however. As the top-ranked Liga MX club, America will play Minnesota in Houston at Shell Energy Stadium this weekend and Portland in Austin at Q2 Stadium next week. Further hosting privileges will be provided if Club America advances to the knockout stage, all the way up to the semifinal. Last year Club America was bounced by Colorado on penalties in the quarterfinal despite playing in nearby Los Angeles.
Real Salt Lake to Host First Game in Leagues Cup
Real Salt Lake’s only true advantage in this matchup lies in their supporters. Ironically, RSL will look to defend America First Field against America. The Sandy, Utah-based club has won four out of their last 5 games at home, only falling to Cincinnati 1-0. Real Salt Lake prevailed against San Jose last weekend in Sandy most recently in a messy affair.
The biggest storyline of the season for Real Salt Lake has been the emergence of Diego Luna. USMNT’s starlet in the Gold Cup, Luna has eight goals in twenty appearances this year for RSL. With premier goalscorer Chicho Arango transferring to San Jose at the beginning of the season, Real Salt Lake needed someone to step up and contribute in attack. While Luna hasn’t exactly been a knight in shining armor, the 21-year-old has plenty of time to grow into his shoes.
Club America Prediction vs Real Salt Lake and Free Betting Pick
The line that jumped out to me most in this game was the total. My projections have the total of 2.5 tilted towards the under at a fair line of (-183). That’s a huge difference from the current line of a flat 3 goals. Most of the value comes in on Real Salt Lake’s offense falling flat, but Club America’s team total seems inflated as well.
America de Mexico matches rarely see totals this high, especially against inferior opposition. Real Salt Lake has only been involved in one game over 3 goals in their last 9, and only three in their last 21. They boast a resolute defense at home yet struggle offensively, resulting in low-action affairs at America First Field. An additional factor supporting our under lies in the format of the Leagues Cup.
As has been the case in years past, the Leagues Cup features no draws. All matches ending in a tie move directly to a penalty shootout, with the winner earning two points and the loser just one. That could incentivize clubs to be more conservative in a neutral game state. From a probabilistic perspective, the average points accrued in a penalty shootout (1.5) vs in regulation time (1.33), assuming all else is equal, supports a more cautious gameplan.
Go with under 3 goals at (-125) at Bovada. I think this line is a half-goal off and I expect it to move closer to 2.5 by Wednesday.
Odds are accurate at time of writing but subject to change.
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