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The NFL futures betting market is full of props and fun markets to back (or fade) any team in so many creative ways. This article takes a look at the projected win totals for each NFL team, highlighting the best and the worst of the NFL. Win totals are based on the scheduled 18-game regular season and offer a unique opportunity to bet on teams who may not be in contention to win division or conference crowns. Continue reading for an expert NFL win totals betting guide and explore stats to make NFL win total predictions.
- National Football League regular season
- 32 teams across two conferences
- Final week ends January 4, 2026
- CBS, ESPN, NFL Network, FOX, and more
2025-26 NFL Win Totals Betting Odds
With a line of (-180) attached to a win total of 11.5, Buffalo leads the pack to finish with the best record in the NFL regular season. Philadelphia, Kansas City and Baltimore also have 11.5 win totals. Revamped New England sees an 8.5 win total along with Pittsburgh, who now have Aaron Rodgers at quarterback. The lowest numbers belong to Cleveland and the New York Giants and Jets, all with win totals of just 5.5.
NFL Win Totals 
Arizona over 8.5 -125 -125 TBD Atlanta over 7.5 -165 -165 TBD Baltimore over 11.5 -125 -125 TBD Buffalo over 11.5 -180 -180 TBD Carolina over 6.5 -145 -150 TBD Chicago over 8.5 +125 +130 TBD Cincinnati over 9.5 -125 -125 TBD Cleveland over 5.5 +125 +115 TBD Dallas over 7.5 -150 -155 TBD Denver over 9.5 -125 -115 TBD Detroit over 10.5 +120 +110 TBD Green Bay over 9.5 -120 -130 TBD Houston over 9.5 -110 -105 TBD Indianapolis over 7.5 -115 -110 TBD Jacksonville over 7.5 -145 -135 TBD Kansas City over 11.5 +105 +100 TBD Las Vegas over 7.5 +145 +125 TBD LA Chargers over 9.5 -120 -130 TBD LA Rams over 9.5 -150 -150 TBD Miami over 8.5 +160 +155 TBD New England over 8.5 -105 -105 TBD New Orleans over 5.5 +155 +150 TBD NY Giants over 5.5 +115 +110 TBD NY Jets over 5.5 -145 -140 TBD Philadelphia over 11.5 +110 +105 TBD Pittsburgh over 8.5 -115 -120 TBD San Francisco over 10.5 -110 -115 TBD Seattle over 7.5 -145 -160 TBD Tampa Bay over 9.5 -115 -120 TBD Tennessee over 5.5 -155 -170 TBD Washington over 9.5 -120 -125 TBD
Want to better understand the NFL betting market? Explore top NFL football betting sites in 2025 and our guide on best football odds.
Buffalo, Philly, KC, and Baltimore: NFL Win Totals Set at 11.5
11.5 is a big number to set, but bookmakers are bullish on the seasons of the Bills, Eagles, Chiefs and Ravens. Barring an injury to Josh Allen, it looks 2025 will be smooth sailing for Buffalo in a fairly tame AFC East. It helps that the Bills are scheduled to play six consecutive non-playoff teams following their opener against Baltimore.
For Baltimore, the bar to reach expectations is extremely high. Most fans are anticipating a Super Bowl victory after improving their secondary in the offseason. DeAndre Hopkins joins an elite offense, leaving the Ravens with very few weaknesses across the board (kicker, maybe?). A well-timed bye in the middle of the season should be a great recharging point as they descend into the winter months.
I am less inclined to support Kansas City’s high win total, however. Based on their record of close games, one can objectively state the Chiefs were the luckiest team in football in 2025. Now 2025/26 welcomes them with a trip to Brazil followed by Baltimore, Detroit and Philadelphia for their first three home games. I think there’s reason to believe Kansas City takes a big dive this season.
New York Jets Underrated with Justin Fields?
One of the nation’s worst teams according to preseason expectations is the New York Jets. After a disastrous spell with Aaron Rodgers, the Jets have moved onto displaced former Bear Justin Fields, a dynamic young quarterback. Early training camp reports are not extremely positive, but most media outlets gain a lot of traction from beating up on the J-E-T-S.
But many are quick to forget just how good this team’s defense is, a factor that contributed to many backing a double-digit win season from New York just two seasons ago. Rookie coach Aaron Glenn joins a truly talented group of pieces lacking the glue to put it all together. But there is a world in which the Jets finish close to .500.
Firstly, the Jets strength of schedule in 2025/26 is among the easiest in the entire league. Nine of their final 11 opponents did not reach the playoffs last year. And when looking at the luck factor, it’s apparent the Jets were actually better than their record last year indicates. Expected win totals put the Jets at 6.73, much closer to seven wins than the five they posted in 2024/25.
I think this win total is a full win off and like the Jets to go over 5.5 wins at a decent clip.
Denver Broncos to Get 10+ Wins Again in 2025-26
Call it a sophomore season for Bo Nix, the Oregon product who exceeded expectations last year as a rookie for the Broncos. The partnership with Sean Payton seems to be paying dividends early, but it’s a tremendous offensive line that really makes it happen. After playing the Jets in London in October, Denver plays on the road just once over a six-week span. That could be enough to take the division lead at the point.
I’ve already written about Denver’s potential to win the AFC West in a previous article, so it goes without saying I like their win total in 2025. After opening at 8.5, Denver has taken some steam up to 9.5 and is now favored over the number. I believe this movement is justified and still like it if you prefer to back them without worry of a Chargers overthrow in a loaded division. Expect some mile high magic this season.
Odds are accurate at time of writing but subject to change.
Top Sportsbooks for NFL Win Totals
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