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The AFC is loaded with talent in 2025 as number one overall pick Cam Ward arrives in Tennessee and Aaron Rodgers takes the helm for Pittsburgh. Baltimore, Kansas City and Buffalo are all poised to pick up where they left off as division champions. But there are a few teams getting underlooked by the betting markets. Read on for expert NFL division futures predictions and explore stats and tips to bet on the NFL futures division winners in the AFC.
- American Football Conference
- 2025 regular season
- 16 teams split between 4 geographical divisions
- Best record after 17 games wins the division and earns automatic playoff spot
- Opening game set for September 4
NFL Division Futures Betting Odds
The Reigning AFC Champion Kansas City Chiefs are favored to win the AFC West at odds of (-120). The Baltimore Ravens should defend their AFC North title with a line of (-140). The Buffalo Bills are expected to do the same in the East at (-285). Finally, the AFC North is up for grabs with the Houston Texans at (+110).
| NFL Division Odds |  |  |  |
| AFC East | | | |
| Buffalo Bills | -285 | -300 | -375 |
| New England Patriots | +500 | +550 | +600 |
| Miami Dolphins | +650 | +650 | +700 |
| New York Jets | +1400 | +1500 | +2000 |
| AFC North | | | |
| Baltimore Ravens | -145 | -140 | -155 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +225 | +215 | +250 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +500 | +500 | +450 |
| Cleveland Browns | +2500 | +3000 | +3000 |
| AFC South | | | |
| Houston Texans | +110 | +105 | -105 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +275 | +280 | +300 |
| Indianapolis Colts | +325 | +325 | +320 |
| Tennessee Titans | +700 | +775 | +850 |
| AFC West | | | |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -120 | -120 | -140 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +300 | +300 | +300 |
| Denver Broncos | +325 | +320 | +350 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +1200 | +1400 | +1800 |
Want to better understand the NFL futures market? See our top NFL football betting sites in 2025 and study our page on NFL betting lines.
AFC West: Can Broncos Buck the Chiefs?
No team was luckier than the Kansas City Chiefs in 2025. This is a bold statement, I admit, but the statistics paint a much different picture than the results. Kansas City finished at 15-2, a remarkable record in the NFL in any era.
But pythagorean expectation, which uses a unique exponential factor to determine how many games a team “should” win based on points scored and points against, puts the Chiefs down to 10-7. That’s far and away the greatest discrepancy of last season. It is also perhaps the biggest in pythagorean to actual expectation in the last decade. A Super Bowl run somewhat justified their position as the number one overall seed until Philadelphia embarrassed them in the final round.
I tell all this to set up what I believe is the best divisional bet of the year. Kansas City is on shaky ground in a stacked AFC West. The Chargers and the Broncos are breathing down their necks, both having earned 10+ win seasons in 2024. Pythagorean expectation actually had Denver as the best team in the AFC West, yet the team is (+350) in 2025. They have an easier schedule than the Chargers and the Chiefs and should be only improving in Bo Nix’s sophomore year.
While I would rather take the Chiefs to “not” win the division and have some equity on the Chargers winning the division as well, unfortunately books do not have that as an option. So instead I will pick my favored team of the two and back Denver to take the West for my first NFL division future, having given them projected odds of around (+200).
Tennessee Can Steal the Ugly AFC South
The AFC South is always a fun division to keep an eye on. No team has been historically dominant, making for razor-thin margins. Houston has won the region in back-to-back years thanks to C.J. Stroud, the young QB drafted in 2023. But even lofty expectations of Houston fell flat last term as Houston finished 10-7.
In such an ugly division with no clear Super Bowl contender in the mix, there is a strong chance a team only needs 10 wins to take the division crown, if not less. With less room for error for the favorite, variance is on the bettors’ sides. That immediately makes me look toward the biggest number on the board: Tennessee at (+850). A 3-win season last year does not bode confidence, but the Titans did get the number one pick in the deal. That selection was used on Cam Ward, Miami’s phenom QB. If he plays like Stroud did his rookie year, a 9-win season is not out of the realm of possibility.
I think in an unpredictable division, it’s not a bad idea to take a stab at a big underdog. Tennessee fits the profile of a team that could bust out and steal the AFC South. Take Tennessee as part of your NFL division futures bets.
Are the Buffalo Bills a Lock to Win the AFC East?
While the AFC South looks open, no team is more favored to win their division in the AFC than Buffalo. The Bills are as high as (-375) to win the AFC East, continuing their dominance in the post-Brady era. Oddsmakers range down to (-285) on Buffalo, showing potential value on simply shopping the market if you’re willing to pay the juice.
New England’s lauded offseason could shake things up, however. Stefon Diggs arrives in Foxboro to offer some support for stud quarterback Drake Maye, along with their first-round pick OT Will Campbell. Their odds to win the division have gone up the most of any team after opening at (+750).
Aaron Rodgers vs Lamar Jackson Dictates Outcome of NFL Division Futures
The AFC North is in a similar spot with no clear challengers to the throne. Baltimore sits pretty at (-140) to win the division. The biggest change to the AFC North is the arrival of Aaron Rodgers, a former NFC North tormenter who hopes to revitalize both himself and the Steelers after years of mediocrity. It may be his last year playing, so if you believe in narratives, Pittsburgh may not be a bad shot at (+500).
Odds are accurate at time of writing but subject to change.
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