2025 NASCAR Cup Championship Picks: Kyle Larson’s title to lose

The NASCAR Cup Series season is entering its second half, and Hendrick Motorsports has just edged out Joe Gibbs Racing for the current lead.

All that action has given us plenty to reflect on as several months of racing have passed, and now the top contenders for the 2025 Cup Series Championship are starting to emerge.

The odds for the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series champion have been updated after last weekend’s race at Iowa Speedway, where William Byron captured his first win since the Daytona 500 in February.

Next, the Cup Series shifts back to road course racing, with this weekend’s event taking place at Watkins Glen International in upstate New York.

Building on that context, let’s dive into the latest 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship odds.

Check out the latest NASCAR betting lines. All our odds are from the best NASCAR betting sites. For more information about the Cup Series, check out our guide on how to bet on NASCAR.

2025 NASCAR Cup Championship Odds

Kyle Larson

Kyle Larson continues to lead the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series odds, but Denny Hamlin is gaining ground.

In line with these shifting odds, the divide between the Top 6 drivers and the rest of the field continues to widen as the regular season draws to a close.

This increasing separation was evident at Iowa, where Larson once again let a strong starting position slip away—beginning third but finishing 28th after contact with Chase Elliott and a series of mistakes.

Despite that setback, Larson now shifts his focus to Watkins Glen, a track where he’s had great success with wins in 2021 and 2022.

He’ll be aiming to return to Victory Lane in New York this weekend. Larson feels like a great value bet at +400 odds at Bovada.

Kyle LarsonTO WIN 2025 NASCAR Championship
★★★★★
+400
Bet now

Denny Hamlin

Denny Hamlin struggled at Iowa, finishing 24th and openly criticizing the track in post-race interviews.

Following this tough performance, Hamlin will shift his focus to Watkins Glen.

While he has just one career win there, he’ll be looking to secure a second victory as he aims to rebound from a disappointing weekend in Iowa.

Will this be the season Hamlin finally wins a Nascar Cup Championship? I would pass on him at this price.

Denny HamlinTO WIN 2025 NASCAR Championship
★★★★★
+425
Bet now

Christopher Bell

As March approached, Christopher Bell surged to the front of the field with three consecutive victories, helping him set career highs with 15 Top 5s and 23 Top 10s last season.

He first won in Atlanta after starting 32nd, then captured the checkered flag at COTA, the season’s first road course race.

Building on this momentum, Bell continued his hot streak by dominating the Shriners Children’s 500 in Phoenix in early March, making the No. 20 car look nearly unstoppable.

This recent success follows a strong previous season, during which Bell set career highs with 15 Top 5s and 23 Top 10s, leading the series in Top 10 finishes. His 12.8 average finish was second-best in the Cup Series.

Bell is another great bet at +525 odds.

Christopher BellTO WIN 2025 NASCAR Championship
★★★★★
+525
Bet now

Tyler Reddick

Still searching for his first win of the season, Tyler Reddick needs to collect as many points as possible.

While he’s currently in a decent position, finishes like his 19th place at Iowa won’t do him any favors if they keep adding up.

Reddick has three top-10 finishes at Watkins Glen in his Cup career, but last year he ended up 27th.

He’ll look to rebound and get back on track at the New York circuit in 2025. I would pass on him at this price as well.

Tyler ReddickTO WIN 2025 NASCAR Championship
★★★★★
+1800
Bet now

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Tony Reyes

Tony is a pro sports journalist who dedicates most of his free time to watching the latest matches and games on TV. When he's not participating in sports-related activities or seeing his friends, Tony enjoys outdoor activities such as hiking, cycling, and basketball. In addition to being a sports expert, Tony has extensive knowledge of finances and accou...

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